Tuesday, 10 August 2010

Holiday gives Salmon time to consider Prem

Hello Salmon followers. No post for some time after a short holiday, so we return with gusto to attack the bookies. Followers will know that after a particularly successful Goodwood festival, Salmon followers have found themselves 18 points in profit.

This is a super return from only a handful of tips and gives us plenty of ammunition for the forthcoming Premiership season.

It looks to be the most open Premiership season for years and it is possible to make a case for any of the big 5. However, before the Charity Shield (I refuse to use it's new moniker) I fancied Arsenal were the value at a massive 7-1, and I haven't changed my mind. Obviously the fact that Fabregas remains at the Emirates is a huge plus and I think Wenger's shrewd signings could be enough to see them challenge Chelsea and United. Manchester City will win the Premiership within 5 years, but I can't have them at the moment.

Paddy Power offer each way places 1,2,3 at a fifth the odds, which means their quote of 6-1 lands you a small profit even if Arsenal finish third. With this in mind, lets have 4 points each way, with the leading Irish bookie.

Turning our thoughts to other markets, I am leaving alone the race for European places. There are so many teams that could fight these places out (and I can't get excited about the mighty Villa after O'Neill's departure), so I think it's a group of markets to avoid. A small interest for me comes in the relegation market, where all the obvious selections are ridiculously short. I will be backing Birmingham City to a small stake.
Blues scored very few goals last term (amazingly all their victories came by a single goal) and have lost Joe Harte between the sticks. I believe they were a little lucky and although I admire Alex McLeish, I think they could be in for a hard time.

I always think that top-goalscorer betting should be dominated by penalty takers and am amazed that Frank Lampard is available at 28-1 (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4 Sportingbet).
Get on fatty to a small stake.


Arsenal (Premiership Title) 6-1 Paddy Power [4points each-way 1/5 1,2,3]
Birmingham City (Prem Relegation) 6-1 Ladbrokes [2points]
Frank Lampard (Top Scorer) 28-1 Sportingbet [1point each-way 1/4 1,2,3,4]




No comments:

Post a Comment