Bob The Salmon
Tuesday, 31 May 2011
Profitable month for Salmons AGAIN!
This means that had you followed the Salmon to a mere £10 per point stake you would be, on average, £70 in profit every month of 2011!
Consider also, that we have two live bets ahead of this weekend's classics and it is safe to say that Salmon sense would encourage even the most hardened cynic to follow.
Enjoy the sun fellow Salmons and enjoy the weekend's racing.
Profit/Loss Update:
2011 P/L = +35 points (up to 01/06/2011)
May 2011 = +10
Apr 2011 = +3.5
Mar 2011 = +10.87
Feb 2011 = +0.73
Jan 2011 = +11.9
2010 Total P/L = +7.75
Thursday, 26 May 2011
No Blues for Salmons even though Gunners don't cop
Rejoice fellow Salmons! An intriguing weekend's footy saw Salmon backers net a tidy 14 points courtesy of Birmingham City's relegation to the second tier.
Followers have every right to feel a little aggrieved that our other main antepost footy selection didn't land, with Arsenal snatching defeat from the jaws of victory by finishing 4th having been in the top 3 all season.
Onwards brothers and sisters, for the Salmon must never retreat. There are a handful of interesting races over the coming days, not least the return of Workforce this evening in the Brigadier Gerard. However, here at Salmon HQ we are happy to take Michael Stoute's word that he may need the run and although we expect the Derby winner to be victorious, we will not be getting involved.
Instead we are focusing on the renewal of the very race that Workforce so emphatically and audaciously won last year.
Amazingly The Derby is only 9 short days away, and we believe we've found the answer in a horse that will be familiar to Salmon fans.
Native Khan was second in The Guineas behind the irrepressible Frankel and at 12-1 looks by far the best option in a field we know relatively little about. Carlton House is a solid favourite but makes no appeal at 6-4, whilst Aiden O'Brien's horses could be anything. The other one that has positive vibes around it is Pour Moi, but with more than double the price on offer about Native Khan, we're happy to take on the French raider too.
Sister race to The Derby, The Investec Oaks, also has a market leader taking a big chunk out, and for some, Blue Bunting would represent reasonable value at 2-1.
We’ve come down on the side of Zain Al Boldan however, who looked mighty impressive last time out and could improve further.
Get your bets on now and you will get Best Odds Guaranteed from Paddy Power, who are joint best priced on both animals as the market stands.
Native Khan (The Derby) 12-1 Paddy Power [1 point e/w 1,2,3 ¼ odds]
Zain Al Boldan (The Oaks) 10-1 Paddy Power [1 point e/w 1,2,3 ¼ odds]
Wednesday, 18 May 2011
Salmon returns for last day shenanigans!
You will be pleased to hear however, that followers will be on a no lose bet tomorrow as Birmingham City attempt to stave off relegation. Advised at the beginning of the season at 6-1, Blues woeful form has seen them slip perilously close to the zone, and we now must back them to stay up to ensure a profit.
Salmons invested 2 points last year and with Hills now going 6-5 for them to stay up, we have to play the percentage game and back them. Chuck 2 points at them to stay up which will get your pre-season investment back plus some loose change. Of course ideally we want the antepost bet to score, which would land a tasty 14 points.
Elsewhere, our Arsenal bet looks to have run out of puff. It seemed unthinkable two months ago that the Gunners could capitulate and Salmon backers can feel very unlucky about the possibility of not nailing the each-way part of that bet for the Prem title. Third would have paid out.
Our World Snooker bet was also slightly unlucky with Ding just missing out on the final and therefore another bookie-bashing.
Birmingham City to stay up (6-5 William Hill) 2 points
Profit/Loss Update:
2011 P/L = +25 points (up to 20/05/2011)
Apr 2011 = +3.5
Mar 2011 = +10.87
Feb 2011 = +0.73
Jan 2011 = +11.9
2010 Total P/L = +7.75
Tuesday, 12 April 2011
Reasonable return in National for Salmons
This leaves Salmons 29.5 points up for the year
Lack of time means that we will only be putting up suggestions rather than in depth reasoning today.
We'll leave the Scottish National alone as it looks a minefield and concentrate on the snooker.
The World Championship is the highlight of the calendar and looks incredibly open this year. With many of the top players in suspicious form, we have settled on Ding Junhui at 8-1 and Ryan Day at 80-1.
Ding will surely be World Champ at some point and in the easier half of the draw could take advantage, while Ryan Day (who hasn't perhaps become the player that many thought he would a few years ago) looks worth a punt at a huge price.
Ding Junhui (World Snooker C'ship) 1 point e/way [8-1 Bet 365 1/2 odds 1,2]
Ryan Day (World Snooker C'ship) 0.25 e/way [80-1 Totesport 1/2 odds 1,2]
Thursday, 7 April 2011
Time to get in a State as antepost refund shows us the way
State Of Play (Grand National) 0.5 points e/w [25-1 Bet 365 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5]
Tuesday, 29 March 2011
Salmon ready for National!
One ray of hope has been the steady progress of Sri Lanka in the ICC World Cup who have delighted Salmon followers by reaching their second consecutive final. Available at 11-10 only now, Salmons who invested half a point on the Sri Lankans at 23-5 will be looking forward to the final this weekend.
Turning our attention back to Racing, The Lincoln looks it's usual minefield and despite running throught the stats and attempting to find something, the best we could do was the recently (and heavily) backed favourite - Taqleed, so we're going to avoid a punt and enjoy the race.
One race we won't be avoiding having a tickle at is the Grand National. Our Antepost tip has failed to make the line up, but second choice in our Antepost preview (see Tuesday 15th Feb), a horse called Frankie Figg is still in. Bet 365 offer Best Odds, Non-Runner No Bet AND 5 places, so we're going to put a little on this front running type at a staggering 80-1.
Of our other highlighted horses, both Big Fella Thanks and Niche Market are steady in the market and although they are available at 16s with other firms, Bet365 is the place to bet these animals at 14s with the 5 places paid.
2.5 points invested then in the sequence below. However if you are a fan of State Of Play, we are still keen. We are hoping to find 25-1 with one of the firms paying 5 places, so hold fire on that one for now and let's bask in the fact that Salmons are still 23.5 points up for the year.
Big Fella Thanks (Grand N'nal) 0.5 points e/way [14-1 Bet365 1/4 odds 1,2,3,45]
Niche Market (Grand National) 0.5 points e/way [14-1 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5]
Frankie Figg (Grand National) 0.25 points e/way [80-1 Bet 365 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5]
Profit/Loss Update:
2011 P/L = +23.5 points (up to 30/03/2011)
Mar 2011 = +10.87
Feb 2011 = +0.73
Jan 2011 = +11.9
2010 Total P/L = +7.75
Saturday, 19 March 2011
Super Salmon laughing all the way to the bank!
However +8.88 points for the day or +16.25 for the festival.
Let's use up 2.88 points on Villa to beat Wolves today. The Villans may be patchy at best, but at prices like 10-11 to beat Wolves, have to be backed.
Aston Villa to beat Wolves (2.88 points win) 10-11 Bet365