Last Minute Racing Post Chase Tip!

Errors abound at Salmonland today, thus the late tip. We're are looking at the Racing Post Chase, for which Fistral Beach was the original tip before postponement of the race. However with different ground now and 16 runners, we offer two against the field. Somewhat predictably these are last year's first and second. Nacarat can still be backed at 13-2 which looks great value considering he's finished first and second in the last two renewals of this race and is " pounds lower in the handicap than last year.
Razor Royale will like the fact that it's rained overnight and although not looking in the best of form lately, knows how to win this race and probably should be backed to a small stake as a saver.

Nacarat (3:00 Kempton) 13-2 Sportingbet [1 point each-way 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4]
Razor Royale 93:00 Kempton) 11-1 Bet365 [0.25 each-way 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4]

Patriotic Punt Is Passport To Profit

An arena we haven't dipped into yet this year is The RBS Six Nations Rugby Championship.

At the beginning of the tournament, it looked impossible to predict, but with two rounds of games down, I am very keen on England. The French travel to Twickers on Saturday and bookies make England odds on shots. If England play like they did against Wales and Italy, they should sweep by France who are unpredictable if occasionally brilliant.

If you do fancy England but want a bit of value, try a bit on England to win the Grand Slam. It seems unlikely that Scotland will present much of a difficulty, so assuming England beat France, their is only a trip to Ireland to worry about. At 9-5 with Paddy Power this looks the call.

England to win 6 Nations Grand Slam (9-5 Paddy Power) 1 point win

Steady Progress For Salmons

1 from 2 of our Saturday racing suggestions come in, yielding profit again for Salmon backers.

Unfortunately in spite of all the talk at Salmon Towers this afternoon about West Ham being a must-bet this evening, we failed to get on or advise, so can't add to our profits further.

In the mean time, let's just remind everyone of the open bets that Salmon followers are already on.

Sri Lanka to win ICC World Cup (23-5 Betfair) 0.5 points win
Mobaasher (Grand National) 50-1 Bet365 [1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5] 0.15 points e/way
Aston Villa (Top 6 finish) 20/1 Stan James [0.5 point win]
Binocular (Champion Hurdle Antepost) 100-30 Coral [1.2 points win]

Arsenal (Premiership Title) 6-1 Paddy Power [4points each-way 1/5 1,2,3]

Birmingham City (Prem Relegation) 6-1 Ladbrokes [2points]

Frank Lampard (Top Scorer) 28-1 Sportingbet [1point each-way 1/4 1,2,3,4]

Don't forget that these bets are from between now and post one, a time during which the Salmon has raked in total profit/loss of +21.25 points. This means that by following the Salmon to a £20 per point stake, your profit would be £425!

More To Come From Salmon!

Well, fish friends, a second and third from our Friday selections, but neither of those are much good when backing to win in 6 runner contests! So, nothing to return from our small wagers today.

Whilst it would be unfair to suggest that here at Salmon base we have an extensive knowledge of One Day Cricket, it would appear from research that a small bet on Sri Lanka (joint hosts of the tournament) could be worthwhile in the ICC World Cup. Sri Lanka are the only team to have won it when hosting (in 1996 when shared with India and Pakistan) and look to have an relatively simple path to the semis at least. Betfair offer just over 9-2 and a half point dabble will keep us interested until the business end of the tournament.

Sri Lanka to win ICC World Cup (23-5 Betfair) 0.5 points win

We are offering only one horse tip this weekend, in addition to the week's earlier suggestion - Mobaasher (3:20 Haydock), and that is Riverside Theatre in The Ascot Chase. Clearly the one to beat on known form, Salmon sense tells us that he will have enough to see off the progressive Pride Of Dulcote and the rejuvenated Tartak.

Riverside Theatre [3:00 Ascot] 7-4 Bet365 (2 points win)

Salmon Only Prepared To Tickle Friday Card

Friday's rearranged Newbury card throws up some very interesting races for fans of the hoof, but from a punting perspective looks sticky to say the least.

The big race of the day is The Totesport Trophy (1:50). But this looks impossible to call, with no fewer than half the field presenting viable each way options. Since this time last week Salmons have been scratching their heads considering Walkon, Soldatino, Get Me Out Of Here, Notus De La Tour and The Betchworth Kid for punting purposes. Unfortunately with little over 12 hours to go we find ourselves no closer to the winner, and therefore can only advise a watching brief.

1:50 Newbury - NO BET

As a token, we'll take Fair Along in the Aon and Tchicos Polos in the Game Spirit, but would advise only very circumspect bets at 4-1 and 100-30 respectively, particularly as the small fields render each way bets unattractive.

12:45 Newbury - Fair Along (4-1 Paddy Power) 0.25 points win
1:15 Newbury - Tchico Polos (100-30 Paddy Power) 0.25 points win

National Weights Inspire Salmon Punt

Excitement and trepidation abounds as the weights for the 2011 Grand National have been announced this morning. With that in mind, here is a very brief outline of Salmon thoughts at present.

Last year's winner Don't Push It seems an obvious place to start and looks like he could be fairly treated only 4 pounds higher for his efforts, although no horse has won back to back Nationals since...Red Rum. A hard task to follow certainly, but the 20/1 available may catch some eyes.

Other animals with strong form in the great race (Big Fella Thanks and State Of Play) also have to enter calculations at this stage, the former priced at 20/1 and the latter at 25s - a price that may well be shorter on the day given his two placed efforts in recent years.

Paul Nicholls has never won The World's Greatest Horserace and he saddles Niche Market (as well as Big Fella Thanks) who looks every inch a National horse and is available at 16/1.

Elsewhere, Synchronised and Notre Pere have both won Welsh Nationals so ought to have some sort of look in.

In spite of all this, the temptation is to look for more of a price at this stage and the two that have the Salmon's gills a-twitching are Frankie Figg and Mobaasher.

Frankie Figg is available at 66/1 and whilst we would like to know for certain that a run was on the cards (and that he stays a trip like this), the raw talent is there for the keen front-runner.

Mobaasher on the other hand is engaged at the Grand National Trial this weekend (where he is installed as 8/1 second fav) and is an animal who is showing more solid form of late. Bearing in mind that West End Rocker, favourite for the aforementioned race at Haydock on Saturday, is priced as short as 20/1 for the big one, the 50s with Bet365 (Best Odds Guaranteed) about Mobaasher come April could look silly.

His price will tumble if he wins on Saturday and for that reason I suggest a small each way go on Mobaasher in both races. True, if he flops at the weekend, he may not make it to the National, but as far as antepost bets go, there must be worse looking options. Get on both races with Bet365 antepost and use up the loose change from last months winnings!

Mobaasher (Grand National Trial) 8-1 Bet365 [1/4 odds 1,2,3,4] 0.3 points e/way

Mobaasher (Grand National) 50-1 Bet365 [1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5] 0.15 points e/way