Salmon backers got a great run out of Jonny Mudball in the Steward's Cup, bringing in a small profit. (2.4 points staked - 2.7 returned) At the furlong pole I thought we were rejoicing in another Salmon success! Still, it's all about staying ahead, and that's precisely what we're doing.
Profit for the week stands at +19.7 points, so I am looking to tonight's Athletics for a small filip.
Try a small patriotic double on Michael Rimmer (Men's 800m) and David Greene (Men's 400m hurdles)
Michael Rimmer (Men's 800m) & David Greene (Men's 400m Hurdles)
1.7 points double @11-10 Bet365
Saturday, 31 July 2010
Wot no Salmon?!
Hello fellow salmons. I can only apologise for no Goodwood tips for a couple of days. Yesterday was not a betting prospect for me and today, whilst hampered by last night's heady combination of various viscous liquors, a slow internet connection disallowed me from tipping Midday for the Nassau. In direct response to this, we're gonna plunge a bit into the very tricky Stewards Cup. I'm not going to go into huge detail as to why to back my selections, as a case could be made for nearly every horse in the race, however here we go.
I shall have a little on Johnny Mudball (very impressive latest effort) and a bit on Ancien Regime who may be a massive price.
Johnny Mudball 340 Goodwood (0.6 points each way) 14-1 Bet365
Ancien Regime 340 Goodwood (0.6points each way) 28-1 Bet365
I shall have a little on Johnny Mudball (very impressive latest effort) and a bit on Ancien Regime who may be a massive price.
Johnny Mudball 340 Goodwood (0.6 points each way) 14-1 Bet365
Ancien Regime 340 Goodwood (0.6points each way) 28-1 Bet365
Thursday, 29 July 2010
Salmon in Seventh Heaven!!!!
Kappow! After the disappointment of yesterday, the Salmon strikes back with Borderlescott and Illustrious Blue both winning at fancy odds and yielding a +19.4 point return for Salmon followers. Sadly Rosika (advised at 20-1) just missed out on a place finishing 4th.
Booze leads to deliberate mistakes
Quick update for eagle-eyed Salmons who may have believed that I had lost my marbles. Today's outlay was, of course, 6 points (not 5 as written at the end of the post) and the shameful use of 'their' rather than 'there' is simply unforgivable. I blame polish lager and non-sparkling perry.
Goodwood Day Three
Hello Salmon fans. First I must apologise for yesterday's tip. Dwain Chambers seemed to have it in the bag at halfway but was inexplicably thrashed in the closing 40 metres. At least we can find solace in the fact that the Salmon acknowledged Lemaitre as Chambers' rival. Perhaps in future posts I'll offer a 'tip' and a 'danger', giving all you young salmons the opportunity to make the choice yourselves.
So, on to todays racing. Another puzzling card at Goodwood, but one that I shall be glued to. After yesterday's obliteration of the fund, I am changing tack and going for a few speculative suggestions rather than one biggy.
In the 245, their is only one horse to backing, the irrepressible Borderlescott. Admittedly, take the each way option to be safe, but I guarantee this horse won't let you down.
In the Gold Cup, I was convinced that Kite Wood was the bet, but having seen him confirmed as a non runner, have switched allegiance to Illustrious Blue. Again, take the each way 9-1 with Sportingbet.
Finally let's have a little bit on Rosika in the 400. Take the 20-1 with Bet365 and make a mockery of the bookies (Ladbrokes go 12s).
So, we're investing 5 points today, (payday tomorrow) hoping to snatch a bit for the weekend. Come on the Border!!!
Borderlescott (2.45 Goodwood) 2 points each way [6-1 Bet365]
Illustrious Blue (3.25 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [9-1 Sportingbet]
Rosika (4.00 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [20-1 Bet365]
So, on to todays racing. Another puzzling card at Goodwood, but one that I shall be glued to. After yesterday's obliteration of the fund, I am changing tack and going for a few speculative suggestions rather than one biggy.
In the 245, their is only one horse to backing, the irrepressible Borderlescott. Admittedly, take the each way option to be safe, but I guarantee this horse won't let you down.
In the Gold Cup, I was convinced that Kite Wood was the bet, but having seen him confirmed as a non runner, have switched allegiance to Illustrious Blue. Again, take the each way 9-1 with Sportingbet.
Finally let's have a little bit on Rosika in the 400. Take the 20-1 with Bet365 and make a mockery of the bookies (Ladbrokes go 12s).
So, we're investing 5 points today, (payday tomorrow) hoping to snatch a bit for the weekend. Come on the Border!!!
Borderlescott (2.45 Goodwood) 2 points each way [6-1 Bet365]
Illustrious Blue (3.25 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [9-1 Sportingbet]
Rosika (4.00 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [20-1 Bet365]
Wednesday, 28 July 2010
Experienced Chambers to boost bank for Salmon
OK, a disappointing result earlier today (particularly when a furlong out Rip looked as if he might have got away) but let's not get down in the mouth!
Turning attentions to the European Athletics Championship which started yesterday, let's try to get on top of the bookies. There look to be plenty of British "good things", not least Michael Rimmer in the 800m and David Greene in the 400m hurdles. Tonight though, it's the turn of the sprinters. The men's 100m final takes place at 8.45pm and looks to be a straight shoot-out between our own Dwain Chambers and France's Christophe Lemaitre (the first white man to break the 10 second barrier).
It promises to be a cracking final, and I will be backing Chambers with all of this weeks profit, firm in the belief that his experience will come through on the big stage. As I've said in previous posts, I don't like to back odds on, but Chambers at 4/6 is a fair reflection of his chances.
Thus, we go 3.25 points on Dwain to boost the coffers for a very open day's racing at Goodwood tomorrow.
Dwain Chambers (Men's 100m) 3.25 points [4/6 Bet365]
Goodwood Day Two - Reaction
I stand corrected! A facile victory for Canford Cliffs in the Sussex means that sadly, Salmon followers lose 0.75 of a point today. Still, we remain 3.25 points up for the week.
-0.75 points
Tuesday, 27 July 2010
Goodwood Day Two
More great racing live on Channel 4 today, with the Group One Sussex Stakes the highlight (325 Goodwood). It promises to be a great race with Irish Guineas and St James's Palace Stakes winner Canford Cliffs taking on Aiden O'Brien's Rip Van Winkle, one of last season's top 3 year olds, who attempts to defend his Sussex crown.
I must preface my betting suggestion, by saying that I am a big fan of Canford Cliffs and believe him to be the best 3 year old miler around. I also think he should and probably will win this race. However, at a price of 4/6 I can't see him as a betting proposition.
Rip Van Winkle attempts to win this for the second year running and although only managing a disappointing 6th in the Queen Anne last time out at Ascot, is still a class horse. True, no animal has ever won back to back Sussex Stakes, but I think Canford Cliffs may struggle a little against older rivals, particularly if not settling well.
Bet 365 offer best odds guaranteed and each way terms of 1/4 the odds 1,2,3 and for me the bet will be Rip Van Winkle each way. This may seem an unusual bet at the current price of 5-2, but look at this way....
I can't see any way that 3 of these horses will finish ahead of Rip, so that is the place part of the bet, at odds of 5-8. You then get a cracking shout at winning, particularly if he drifts to 3-1 on the day.
So, if placed (which seems all but nailed on) you lose only 0.75 of a point and if he wins you profit by 6.25 points.
For this reason let's play up yesterday's winnings and have 2 points each way. Go on the Winkle!!!
Rip Van Winkle (3.25 Goodwood) 2 points each way [5-2 Bet365]
I must preface my betting suggestion, by saying that I am a big fan of Canford Cliffs and believe him to be the best 3 year old miler around. I also think he should and probably will win this race. However, at a price of 4/6 I can't see him as a betting proposition.
Rip Van Winkle attempts to win this for the second year running and although only managing a disappointing 6th in the Queen Anne last time out at Ascot, is still a class horse. True, no animal has ever won back to back Sussex Stakes, but I think Canford Cliffs may struggle a little against older rivals, particularly if not settling well.
Bet 365 offer best odds guaranteed and each way terms of 1/4 the odds 1,2,3 and for me the bet will be Rip Van Winkle each way. This may seem an unusual bet at the current price of 5-2, but look at this way....
I can't see any way that 3 of these horses will finish ahead of Rip, so that is the place part of the bet, at odds of 5-8. You then get a cracking shout at winning, particularly if he drifts to 3-1 on the day.
So, if placed (which seems all but nailed on) you lose only 0.75 of a point and if he wins you profit by 6.25 points.
For this reason let's play up yesterday's winnings and have 2 points each way. Go on the Winkle!!!
Rip Van Winkle (3.25 Goodwood) 2 points each way [5-2 Bet365]
Goodwood Day One - Reaction
Well, a great start to Goodwood with Lord Shanakill well backed and obliging at good odds. Unfortunately only second for Stone Of Folca and a bit of an oversight on my part not suggesting an each way bet.
Still a return for the day of +4 points which can't be sniffed at.
Still a return for the day of +4 points which can't be sniffed at.
Goodwood Day One
Focusing on the days live terrestrial races, and a hard 4 races they are to call! I dare say I shall have a few quid here and there, but for my opening blog suggestion I am going with Lord Shanakill in the 3.25.
He is a Group 1 winner and was comfortable under today's jockey Tom Queally at Chester last time. There are 5 or 6 that could be made a case for in this race, particularly Red Jazz and Balthazar's Gift. However, at the prices (all 3 are around the 8-1/9-1 mark) I think Henry Cecil's horse is the one to be backing
Lord Shanakill (3.25 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [8-1 Bet365]
As it's my first post, I'm going to have a cheeky second suggestion in the 4.00. I can't believe that Stone Of Folca isn't favourite for the Molecomb Stakes, so suggest a small interest at the very tempting 7-2 offered by Bet365
Stone Of Folca (4.00 Goodwood) 1 point win [7-2 Bet365]
He is a Group 1 winner and was comfortable under today's jockey Tom Queally at Chester last time. There are 5 or 6 that could be made a case for in this race, particularly Red Jazz and Balthazar's Gift. However, at the prices (all 3 are around the 8-1/9-1 mark) I think Henry Cecil's horse is the one to be backing
Lord Shanakill (3.25 Goodwood) 0.5 points each way [8-1 Bet365]
As it's my first post, I'm going to have a cheeky second suggestion in the 4.00. I can't believe that Stone Of Folca isn't favourite for the Molecomb Stakes, so suggest a small interest at the very tempting 7-2 offered by Bet365
Stone Of Folca (4.00 Goodwood) 1 point win [7-2 Bet365]
Welcome!
Hello, and welcome to my new blog for small time punters. I shall put up betting suggestions on anything from horses to football to politics. I do not wish to encourage gambling and am not a tipster, this is simply for fun. Each betting suggestion will be posted using a points system. I am a small bettor so would usually equate 1 point to a £5 stake. Yours may be £1, £10 or £100, but the points system indicates how strong I feel the bet is. So, a 2 point bet, for me, would be a £10 bet.
I always bet online using reputable bookmakers. Whilst you can bet in high street shops, there is much better value in betting online with a bookmaker that offers best odds guaranteed. My favourites are Paddy Power and Bet365 who have a number of extra offers too. Remember when betting on horses on these websites to always take the price, as whichever is bigger (SP or board price you've taken) will be the odds you are paid out at.
Don't hesitate to post questions up here
I always bet online using reputable bookmakers. Whilst you can bet in high street shops, there is much better value in betting online with a bookmaker that offers best odds guaranteed. My favourites are Paddy Power and Bet365 who have a number of extra offers too. Remember when betting on horses on these websites to always take the price, as whichever is bigger (SP or board price you've taken) will be the odds you are paid out at.
Don't hesitate to post questions up here
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