Monday, 17 January 2011

End of an era as Kauto misses out...

In spite of speculation of Kauto Star's retirement after he failed to notch a fifth successive King George on Saturday, Paul Nicholls insists that the horse will run in this year's Gold Cup.
It seems unlikely that he could re-rally and win it for a third time, most bookmakers go 10-1 for the ten year old to recapture his greatest form.

So, Salmon backers lose a little on the great horse, but have a cracking chance to get some back with a little patriotic punt on a certain grumpy Scot in the Australian Tennis Open.
As with most majors, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer dominate the betting market, and thus offer little in the way of betting value. Murray made the final last year, only to be outplayed by a rampant Federer, but there is no reason to suggest he can't at least repeat that feat. Ok, Nadal is looking to become the first man since Rod Laver to hold all Grand Slam titles at once, but I believe there is a little doubt over his fitness presently and could not back him at 2-1. Federer is the likely winner, and 7-4 looks like a realistic price, but not one to get excited about. Andy Murray is available at 8-1 with Paddy Power and with each way terms of 1/2 odds for reaching the final, looks the bet.
With Salmon followers at a total profit of 12.5 points at the moment, let's throw 1.25 points e/way at him.

Andy Murray (Australian Open) 1.25 points e/w [8-1 Paddy Power 1/2 odds 1,2]

1 comment:

  1. Hi SalmonBob
    Nice post. We were all disappointed not to see Kauto Star pull off the 5-in-a-row but what a classy horse!
    Many thanks for the mention of Paddy Power in relation to the tennis betting - we are chuffed and would love if you could get in touch.
    Charmaine

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